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Volatility

Implied Move / Expected Move Calculator

Enter the stock price, annualized implied volatility, and days to expiration to get the options-implied expected move, a rough 1-standard-deviation range. It's the same idea behind the earnings expected move figures. Add the at-the-money straddle price for a second, straddle-based estimate.

If provided, shows the straddle-based estimate (straddle price × 0.85) alongside the IV-based one.

IV-based expected move ($)···
IV-based expected move (%)···
IV-based upper bound···
IV-based lower bound···

Educational tool only, not financial advice. Expected move is a rough 68% confidence estimate, not a boundary. Actual moves blow past it all the time.

Jason Parker, founder of Trading Ranges

Built by Jason Parker, founder of Trading Ranges.

Jason Parker, founder of Trading Ranges

Built by Jason Parker, founder of Trading Ranges.